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Bat or Alt / Max Bat Before the Bounce?

www.8bit.trading

Bat or Alt / Max Bat Before the Bounce?

It's bullish but not before delivering maximum pain.

Apr 13, 2022
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Share this post

Bat or Alt / Max Bat Before the Bounce?

www.8bit.trading

Hello degens!

Although we’ve had some pretty messed up declinations in the past few days (weeks, months, etc…) we’re ready for a bounce, of some kind, in the future because “what goes down, must go up” at some point as bitcoin moves in waves and cycles.

The question, of course, is how low she’ll go before providing some type of relief. Right now, the more important bullish harmonics are two types of bats: Bat and Alt / Max Bat on both the 4hr timeframes:

This might be already activated!

Above is the more normal Bat harmonic while there’s an alternative formation that could provide a bounce closer to the $35-36k range. That would be painful for a lot of folks who are hoping for a bounce now but bitcoin loves to produce maximum pain before any sort of relief — sorry, that’s just how she operates.

Alt / Max Bat would be 💀.

But, it won’t necessarily go there immediately and we’ll get some small bounces — and opportunities to snipe a long (or two) in the mean time.

For instance, I shared this on Twitter and I found some confluence between a 1hr Dragon harmonic and a White Swan on the 15min:

Twitter avatar for @8BIT
8ƀit @8BIT
dragon on the 1hr; max prz $40,600-ish. already activated and could continue to rise a bit more for a quick snipe on a long. $btc #bitcoin #btc
Image
11:05 PM ∙ Apr 12, 2022
Twitter avatar for @8BIT
8ƀit @8BIT
has some nice confluence with a white swan on the 15min, same distance and prz: $btc #bitcoin #btc
Image
11:08 PM ∙ Apr 12, 2022

If you had already shorted her early in the morning from the “Fade the Fed” dump then you’re massively in-profit and should start back-stopping your stop loss appropriately.

That harmonic eventually created a local top and a bearish White Swan appeared that had a lot of confluence with fundamentals:

Right on the nub.

I ended up shorting this position @ $40,130 for a quick snipe as she faded:

Stop loss set!

I put in a stop loss @ $40,311 and let her ride:

Willing to lose a bit on making this work!

My first thought was to exit around the .5 and .618 fibs:

Start planning for the exit to profit!

You can see a lot of aggression around the .382 and the .5 and it was a serious struggle bus to go under. My guess is that anything in-between those fibs would be a great place to get out and pocket some cash. $39,650-ish might be right in the middle.

I was already in profit and I definitely wanted to start backstopping it if I could:

Time to exit and make some money.

I wanted more confluence as she bounced up a bit more and found a bearish Bat on the 5minute that kept me grounded (and sane):

Oh Bat, My Bat.

So, she continued her descent and since I was around and available I could begin a “stop loss hunt” campaign to get in and get out. I shared some of this on Twitter as we all watched it fade into darkness:

Twitter avatar for @8BIT
8ƀit @8BIT
it’s so… pretty. 🤤🤑 $btc #bitcoin #btc
Image
1:04 AM ∙ Apr 13, 2022

Yes, it was pretty if you were short and, at this present moment, I was. Volume kept grinding up as more sell order flooded the floor and so the fade might actually go much farther than the conservative first point of profit — $39,800:

Wow. Let’s go… south?

Back stopping in profit was now the game:

Set and forget.

Now, regardless of how much it might bounce upward, I’ll make a few bucks on this trade and walk away a winner with a 41% expected rate of return amounting to ~$168. Not bad, not bad bitcoin. I’ll take it.

I put in an order to take profit at $39,666 and then… I waited:

Good bounce! But not before I got some bags.

And then it hit my target (with a little slippage in my favor): 145% return amounting to a bit more than $500 buckeroos. I’ll take it. Total time in the trade, including work and then babysitting the trade? A little less than 2 hours of work and watching. Not bad, not bad.

Not a bad day of fishing.

I kept a bit more in the pan for more profit if she continued to ride but otherwise I had made my daily goal and I could walk away from my trading table satisfied. A few moments later, it popped my backstop and I was out of the trade:

Stopped out in profit.

Final take? $555. Nice. I love it when that happens. Steak dinner tonight degens, with shrimp and double fries. Let’s go! Yum.

Oh, and I’ll leave you with a bit of hopium — bullish Anti-Shark on the 4hr. Maybe there’s upside while we sleep?

Twitter avatar for @8BIT
8ƀit @8BIT
here's your hopium before i check out for the day... ... bullish anti-shark on the 4hr. whut. $btc #bitcoin #btc
Image
2:35 AM ∙ Apr 13, 2022

To infinity & bitcoin,

— 8ɃIT

There’s hope but we all just have to be patient for that mega-long that everyone is waiting to juice. Give her time and she’ll reward us all. Personally, I’m still waiting on a bit more confirmation before I put any money on her as a fake-out to the upside would be such a classic move.

Nice try girlfriend, nice try… maybe.

To infinity & bitcoin,

— 8ɃIT

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Bat or Alt / Max Bat Before the Bounce?

www.8bit.trading
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