Trading Ƀitcoin

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Time in the Market > Timing the Market

www.8bit.trading

Time in the Market > Timing the Market

Let your intuition guide you and build you profits.

8ƀit
Apr 19, 2022
2
Share this post

Time in the Market > Timing the Market

www.8bit.trading

Hello degens!

I started the day thinking about (crypto) taxes and making more money (to pay for said taxes). At least things started in profit!

And, as you know, since every significant rise is an opportunity to short I started thinking about entry points after this nice beginning:

Twitter avatar for @8BIT
8ƀit @8BIT
... yeah. let's keep this rolling. profit is profit.
Image
6:39 PM ∙ Apr 18, 2022

A Cypher on the 1hr was fighting a valid Black Swan on the 4hr:

Cypher short possibility?
We’re already rising on this Black Swan.

A lot of bullish momentum so I want to stay calm and collected as we look for fades. Would they present themselves in a timely fashion? Short the rip, long the dip!

Watch for that backtest (it’s fun trying out video):

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8ƀit @8BIT
i guess it's time for that backtest... ... watch $38,500-ish for $btc if the aggression doesn't hold. #bitcoin loves to trouble, that's for sure. #btc loves max pain before any relief rally. expect it. ... trying to get xd .618-.786; bd 1.128-2.236.
7:19 PM ∙ Apr 18, 2022

A White Swan on the 5 and 15 showed up for targets but it feels risky. Upside potential really seems in the favor of the bulls as the rest of the markets showed a bit a strength as the day progressed.

White Swan on the 5.

Take a look:

Seeing that green!

A Cypher on the 4hr printed giving more boost (and possible short) to the momentum that was already building throughout Monday morning:

Cypher on the 4hr.

I thought maybe I’d take a swing — why not? I didn’t want to wait for bitcoin forever and I wanted to test-drive some updated elements to my overall workflow.

So, I put on a trade:

Cool. Let’s go.

And hoped that she’d fade! Which, of course, she didn’t. My entry on this wasn’t as good as I would have liked; I started looking for confluences and signals beyond my originals.

Maybe we’ll get lucky.

I put in an order to take profits which I’d adjust as things moved along:

She could go further south.

I’d leave a bit in the chamber for further declination if she wanted to. A quick review of volume and volatility gave me hope:

In the right direction.

So, we’d wait to see if this printed in the right direction and after a bit of time and up and down I started feeling very anxious about the direction; the price action that I was seeing was not printing in the way that I had hoped and I exited the position, just before it started heading in the other direction:

Oh well.

Losing $14 on the trade doesn’t hurt my feelings in the slightest, especially since my entry really sucked. I could have made some money on a much better entry, which did present itself a handful of times; I think I may have been a bit timid on these to be honest.

I went to bed feeling good about my intuition and I was out of my short. And, I even went to be early last night around 8:00pm local so when I woke up many hours later I found that we had completely blown through those levels!

She put in work last night!

All of that consolidation just burst through the hole!

It’s about “time in the market” not trying to “time the market” perfectly; I’ve learned this to be very true and the longer I’m trading the more I can trust my instincts. I’m glad I got out of the trade. And I’m glad I’ll have another opportunity today to do the same.

To infinity & bitcoin,

— 8ɃIT

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Time in the Market > Timing the Market

www.8bit.trading
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